Saturday, August 22, 2015

How the world likely views arguments among academics

I am guessing that, to the extent that it cares, the broader world sees the current argument between Richard Posner, on one side, and Paul Krugman, Brad Delong, Mark Thoma and Menzie Chinn, on the other, as some sort of esoteric pissing contest. This is because all of these people are very smart and write very well.

The problem is that Posner is just plain wrong--I mean, he gets his arithmetic wrong in so many ways, it is breathtaking. For instance, he doesn't understand the difference between a quarterly growth rate and a quarterly annualized growth rate. This does not particularly surprise me--very good lawyers are often not good at math. One of my dearest friends is a brilliant lawyer (and political analyst), and he couldn't calculate a present value if his life depended on it. He was also amazed that one had to strip the casing off of speaker wire before one hooked up a stereo. The other thing about lawyers is they are not particularly good at admitting when they are wrong--their entire training teaches them not to do so (although the friend I just mentioned is endearingly modest).

In the current context, this is a problem, because Posner is hurling ad hominems [h/t to William Adelman for correcting the spelling] while not knowing what he is talking about.

Friday, August 21, 2015

Tonight on CBS


Watch CBS Videos Online

Naive question

When the economy settles down, why not return to the Clinton tax code? The economy did well, we had fiscal surplus, etc. Raising taxes on the top 5% is fine with me, but I don't think it is enough.

Just asking.

My all time favorite billboard

Mark Thoma has a post this morning on a silly billboard he saw while driving across Nevada.

The best billboard I ever saw was in northern Minnesota. I was driving down US 2, coming up on Grand Rapids, and saw a sign that read

Stop at the [restaurant name that I can't remember]

Why pay Duluth Prices?

It worked for me. I had the walleye pike dinner. It was something like $8 including the all you can eat salad bar. It was good, too.